Ukraine/Russland/NATO – der Sammler am 10. November 2022

Im andauernden russischen Angriffskrieg gegen die Ukraine ist derzeit die Frage, ob der von Russland angekündigte Rückzug in der Region Kherson ein Wendepunkt ist oder wird. Der Sammler am 10. November 2022:

• Nach den russischen Ankündigungen am (gestrigen) Mittwoch, das rechte, also das westliche Ufer des Flusses Dnipro (Djnepr) zu räumen, richtet sich die Aufmerksamkeit darauf, was dort tatsächlich passiert.

Aus dem Briefing des russischen Verteidigungsministeriums (vollständige Fassung s.u.) die entsprechende Passage dazu:

In Nikolayev-Krivoy Rog direction, the manoeuvre of Russian troops to the prepared positions on the left bank of the Dnepr River is under way, in strict accordance with the approved plan.

Die Ukraine äußerte sich bislang äußerst zurückhaltend zu dem angekündigten russischen Abzug in der Region. So auch der ukrainische Präsident Wolodymyr Selenskyj in seiner regelmäßigen Video-Ansprache am Mittwochabend:

South. We are moving gradually, strengthening our positions step by step.
There is a lot of joy in the media space today, and it is clear why. But our emotions must be restrained – always during war.
I will definitely not feed the enemy with all the details of our operations, either in the south, or in the east, or anywhere else. When we have our result, everyone will see it. For sure.
Maybe it doesn’t sound like what anyone expects now. Maybe not as in the news. But you need to understand: no one just gets away if they don’t feel the strength. The enemy does not bring us gifts, does not make „gestures of goodwill.“ We fight our way up. And when you are fighting, you must understand that every step is always resistance from the enemy, it is always the loss of the lives of our heroes.Therefore, we move very carefully, without emotions, without unnecessary risk. In the interests of the liberation of our entire land and so that the losses are as small as possible. This is how we will secure the liberation of Kherson, Kakhovka, Donetsk, and other our cities.

Update: in der Video-Ansprache am Donnerstagabend machte Selenskyj weitere Angaben dazu:

Today we have good news from the south.
The number of Ukrainian flags returning to their rightful place in the framework of the ongoing defense operation is already dozens. 41 settlements were liberated.

• Das britische Intel Update:

On 09 November 2022, Russian Defence Minister Sergey Shoygu ordered the withdrawal of Russian forces from the west bank of the Dnipro river in Kherson, southern Ukraine.
General Sergei Surovikin, commander of the Russian forces in Ukraine, confirmed they will withdraw to defensive positions along the Dnipro River, citing re-supply issues as the primary reason for the decision.
Russia’s ability to sustain its forces on the west bank of the Dnipro river had been placed under pressure by Ukrainian strikes on Russia’s resupply routes.
In retreating, Russian forces have destroyed multiple bridges and likely laid mines to slow and delay advancing Ukrainian forces. The loss of Kherson’s west bank will likely prevent Russia from achieving its strategic aspiration of a land bridge reaching Odesa.
With limited crossing points, Russian forces will be vulnerable in crossing the Dnipro River. It is likely that the withdrawal will take place over several days with defensive positions and artillery fires covering withdrawing forces.

• Das Morgenbriefing des ukrainischen Generalstabs (zu Kherson darin nur Aussagen zur Zivilbevölkerung, nicht zur militärischen Lageentwicklung):

Operational update of General Staff of the UAF regarding the russian invasion as of 06:00, on November 10, 2022
The two hundred sixtieth (260) day of the heroic resistance of the Ukrainian people to a russian military large-scale invasion continues.
The enemy is trying to keep the temporarily captured territories, concentrates efforts on restraining the actions of the Defense Forces in certain areas. Conducts offensive actions in the Bakhmut and Avdiivka directions.
Over the past day, units of the Defense Forces of Ukraine repelled the attacks of the invaders in the areas of Novoselivka and Makiivka settlements of Luhansk oblast and Soledar, Klishchiivka, Mayorsk, Yakovlivka, Andriivka, Bilohorivka, Vesele, Nevelske, Pervomaiske and Novomykhailivka of Donetsk oblast.
The enemy is shelling units of the Defense Forces along the contact line, carrying out border fortification equipment in separate directions and conducting aerial reconnaissance. It continues to strike critical infrastructure and civilian homes in violation of International Humanitarian Law, the laws and customs of war.
Over the past day, the enemy launched 11 missile and 22 air strikes, launched more than 35 MLRS attacks. More than 30 settlements of Donetsk, Luhansk, Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia, Mykolaiv, Sumy and Kherson oblasts were affected by this.
The situation in the Volyn and Polissya directions has not changed significantly. The republic of belarus continues to support the armed aggression of the russian federation against Ukraine, accepts and hosts russian servicemen, and provides training grounds. The formation of a joint russian-belarusian grouping of troops is underway. The threat of enemy strikes and the use of attack UAVs from the territory and airspace of the republic of belarus remains.
The enemy shelled in such other directions:
in the Siversky direction – from barrel and jet artillery, in the areas of Hasychivka, Chernihiv oblast, and Popivka, Petrushivka, Myropillya, Zapsillya, Nova Huta, Novovasylivka, and Starykove, Sumy oblast;
in the Slobozhanskyi direction – from artillery of various types, in the areas of Hryhorivka, Kolodyazne, Strilecha, Vovchansk, Ohirtseve and Ternova settlements;
in the Kupyansk and Lyman directions – from mortars, barrel and jet artillery, in the areas of the settlements of Ploshanka, Berestove, Stelmakhivka, Myasozharivka, Spirne, Bilohorivka, Makiivka, Nevske, and Kislivka;
in the Bakhmut direction – from tanks, mortars, barrel and rocket artillery, in the areas of the settlements of Bakhmut, Bakhmutske, Soledar, Ivanhrad, Yakovlivka, Mayorsk, Zelenopillya and New York;
in the Avdiivka direction – from tanks, mortars, barrel and jet artillery, in the areas of Vuhledar, Nevelske, Maryinka, Novomykhailivka, Krasnohorivka and Vesele settlements;
in the Novopavlivka and Zaporizhzia directions – from tanks and the entire variety of artillery, in the areas of the settlements of Prechystivka, Velyka Novosilka, Pavlivka, Hulyaipilske, Vremivka, Zaliznychne, Novodanylivka, Mala Tokmachka, Novopil, Mali Shcherbaky, and Poltavka;
In the South Buh direction – from tanks and artillery of various calibers in the areas of Pravdyne, Myrne, Ternovi Pody, Sukhyi Stavok, Zolota Balka and Marhanets settlements. In addition, the enemy continued to conduct aerial reconnaissance, actively using UAVs. Made more than 15 flights.
According to available information, the internal affairs bodies of the russian federation in the city of Tolyatti, Samara Region received an order to recruit 1,000 candidates for service in the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine. At the same time, the city’s chemical enterprises are working on additional fundraising to support the regional division. This arouses the indignation of the employees, who, even without this, have monthly deductions for the support of the mobilized, who participate in the war on the territory of Ukraine.
According to detailed information, the so-called evacuation of the population from the city of Kherson has been stopped due to the lack of willing people. In the city, the occupation authorities stopped issuing wages and social benefits.
In the temporarily occupied territory of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, in the city of Dzhankoy, the invaders transferred a civilian hospital to a military hospital. Up to 800 wounded occupiers are in it.
Aviation of the Defense Forces of Ukraine struck the enemy 6 times during the past day. 2 areas of concentration of personnel, weapons and military equipment, as well as 4 positions of the enemy’s anti-aircraft defense equipment, were damaged. Over the past day, the Defense Forces shot down 5 „Shakhed“ and 3 „Orlan“ UAVs in different directions.
Over the past day, soldiers of the Ukrainian missile forces and artillery hit one command post, one area of concentration of manpower, weapons and military equipment, an ammunition depot and other important military objects of the occupiers.

• Das Briefing des russischen Verteidigungsministeriums:

Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation in Ukraine (10 November 2022)
The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation.
In Nikolayev-Krivoy Rog direction, the manoeuvre of Russian troops to the prepared positions on the left bank of the Dnepr River is under way, in strict accordance with the approved plan.
In Kupyansk direction, the enemy with up to two companies reinforced by nationalists and foreign mercenaries made unsuccessful attempts to attack units of Russian troops in direction of Kuzyomovka (Lugansk People’s Republic). Through the active action of our troops and artillery fire, the enemy units were stopped and dispersed on the far approaches to the defence line. Over 90 Ukrainian personnel, one tank, and four armoured fighting vehicles have been eliminated.
In Krasny Liman direction, Russian troops thwarted an attempt by two reinforced platoons of the AFU to attack Stelmakhovka and Ploshchanka (Lugansk People’s Republic). As a result of the shelling, the enemy’s losses were 70 Ukrainian servicemen killed and wounded, one infantry fighting vehicle, and three pickup trucks.
In South Donetsk direction, a counterattack by AFU units has been repulsed near Nikolskoye (Donetsk People’s Republic). Russian artillery and army aviation destroyed up to 55 fighters, one tank, and two armoured fighting vehicles.
Operational-Tactical and Army Aviation, Missile Troops and Artillery has hit two command posts of the AFU and foreign mercenaries near Nikolayev and Sukhoi Stavok (Kherson region), as well as 46 artillery units in firing positions, manpower and military equipment in 153 areas.
Three US-made AN/TPQ-50 counter-battery radar stations have been destroyed near Krasny Liman (Donetsk People’s Republic), Novogrigorovka (Kherson region), and Novopoltavka (Nikolayev region). The AFU fuel depot has been destroyed near Annovka (Dnepropetrovsk region). The AFU munitions depot of artillery was destroyed near Novoaleksandrovka, (Nikolayev region).
A Su-25 aircraft of the AFU has been shot down by Russian Aerospace Forces fighter aircraft near Malomikhailovskoye (Nikolayev region). A Ukrainian Mi-8 helicopter has been neutralised near Rizdvyanka (Zaporozhye region).
Nine unmanned aerial vehicles were shot down by air defence forces near Golikovo and Chervonopopovka (Lugansk People’s Republic), Kirillovka, Yegorovka, and Novoandreyevka (Donetsk People’s Republic), Vasilyevka (Zaporozhye region), and Veseloye and Krynki (Kherson region).
In addition, 21 HIMARS and Olkha multiple-launch rocket systems were intercepted near Vysokoye, Tomarino, Antonovka, Nikolskoye, and Novaya Kakhovka (Kherson region), as well as three HARM anti-radiation missile near Guselskoye (Donetsk People’s Republic), Nikolskoye and Korsunka (Kherson region).
In total, 333 airplanes and 173 helicopters, 2,479 unmanned aerial vehicles, 388 air defence missile systems, 6,491 tanks and other armoured fighting vehicles, 885 fighting vehicles equipped with MLRS, 3,564 field artillery cannons and mortars, as well as 7,158 units of special military hardware have been destroyed during the special military operation.

• Das Abendbriefing des ukrainischen Generalstabs (mit der im Laufe des Tages schon veröffentlichten Aussage, ukrainische Truppen hätten in der Region Kherson zwölf Ortschaften unter ihre Kontrolle gebracht):

Operational update regarding russian invasion as of 18:00, November 10, 2022
he two hundred sixtieth (260) day of the heroic resistance of the Ukrainian people to a russian military large-scale invasion continues.
According to the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, during the past day, in the direction of Petropavlivka-Novoraisk, units of the Defense Forces of Ukraine advanced 7 kilometers and took control of 6 settlements. The situation is similar in the direction of Pervomaiske-Kherson, where our troops also took control of 6 settlements.
The enemy is trying to keep the temporarily captured territories, is concentrating its efforts on restraining the actions of the Defense Forces in certain directions, and is continuing the equipment of defensive lines on the left bank of the Dnipro River. At the same time, it conducts offensive operations in the Bakhmut, Avdiivka and Novopavlivka directions.
Populated areas of Donetsk, Luhansk, Dnipropetrovsk, and Zaporizhzhia regions were hit by the enemy.
In the Volyn and Polissya directions, the situation remains without significant changes. The republic of belarus continues to support the armed aggression of the russian federation against Ukraine, providing it with infrastructure, territory and airspace. The formation of the russian-belarusian grouping of troops on the territory of the republic of belarus continues.
The enemy shelled in such other directions:
in the Siversky direction – from mortars, in the area of the village of Hremyach, Chernihiv oblast;
in the Slobozhansky direction – from mortars, rocket and barrel artillery, in the areas of the settlements of Strilecha, Ternova, Starytsa, Ohirtseve, Vovchansk and Kolodyazne;
on the Kupyansk and Lyman directions – from artillery of various types, in the areas of the settlements of Kislivka, Tabaivka, Berestovka, Lisna Stinka, Stelmakhivka, Myasozharivka, Makiivka, Nevske, Yampolivka and Lyman;
in the Bakhmut direction – from tanks and the entire range of artillery, in the areas of Rozdolivka, Yakovlivka, Soledar, Bakhmutske, Bakhmut, Opytne, Kurdyumivka, Toretsk, New York and Mayorsk settlements;
in the Avdiivka direction – from tanks, mortars, barrel and jet artillery, in the areas of Avdiivka, Opytne, Vodyane, Pervomaiske, Nevelske, Maryinka, Paraskoviivka and Novomykhailivka settlements;
in the Novopavlivsk and Zaporizhzhia directions – from tanks and artillery of various calibers, in the areas of the settlements of Vuhledar, Pavlivka, Novosilka, Neskuchne, Novopil, Temyrivka, Olhivske, Uspenivka, Chervone, Hulyaipole, Zaliznychne, Hulyaipilske, Charivne, Orihiv and Stepove.
Musiiivka, Illinka, and Novokiivka of the Dnipropetrovsk oblast were directly hit by artillery fire in the South Buh direction.
In order to prevent the advance of units of the Defense Forces, the occupying forces are increasing the fortification equipment of the positions in the temporarily occupied territory of the Zaporizhzhia oblast. In order to speed up the pace of engineering works, the occupiers are trying to involve the civilian local population.
In order to replenish current losses and strengthen the group of occupiers in the Kherson direction, in the temporarily occupied territory of the Donetsk region, military personnel who retreated from the Kharkiv direction are being searched and detained. As a feature, the sending of groups of invaders without warm clothes, equipment, means of protection and weapons is noted – they are promised to be delivered directly to the area of hostilities.
The training of those mobilized in military educational institutions on the territory of the russian federation continues. So, according to available information, the next batch of the specified category of persons is expected to be sent from Smolensk in the second decade of November. This group was trained on the basis of the Air Defense Military Academy of the Armed Forces of the russian federation.
During the current day, the aviation of the Defense Forces of Ukraine struck the enemy 8 times. 7 areas of concentration of personnel, weapons and military equipment, as well as the position of the enemy’s anti-aircraft defenses, were affected.
During the day, soldiers of the missile forces and artillery hit the command post, 8 areas of concentration of manpower, weapons and military equipment, 2 ammunition depots, 5 air defense systems and other important military objects of the russian occupiers.

• Am Donnerstagabend gab das US-Verteidigungsministerium weitere Waffenlieferungen an die Ukraine bekannt, die aus den Beständen der US-Streitkräfte kommen:

Today, the Department of Defense (DoD) announces the authorization of a Presidential Drawdown of security assistance valued at up to $400 million to meet Ukraine’s critical security and defense needs. This authorization is the Biden Administration’s twenty-fifth drawdown of equipment from DoD inventories for Ukraine since August 2021.
Capabilities in this package include:
• Missiles for HAWK air defense systems;
• Four Avenger air defense systems, and Stinger missiles;
• Additional ammunition for High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems (HIMARS);
• 21,000 155mm artillery rounds;
• 500 precision-guided 155mm artillery rounds;
• 10,000 120mm mortar rounds;
• 100 High Mobility Multipurpose Wheeled Vehicles (HMMWVs);
• 400 grenade launchers;
• Small arms, optics, and more than 20,000,000 rounds of small arms ammunition;
• Demolition equipment for obstacle clearing;
• Cold weather protective gear.
With Russia’s unrelenting and brutal air attacks on Ukrainian critical infrastructure, additional air defense capabilities are critical. The HAWK missiles, which will be refurbished using Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative funds, will complement Spain’s recent commitment of HAWK launchers to help Ukraine meet this threat. The Avenger short-range air defense systems will also provide Ukraine with capability to protect Ukrainian troops and critical infrastructure against Unmanned Aerial Systems and helicopters.