Ukraine/Russland/NATO – der Sammler am 25. September 2022

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Im andauernden russischen Angriffskrieg gegen die Ukraine bestimmen weiterhin die so genannten Volksabstimmungen in den besetzten Gebieten und die russische Mobilisierung die Wahrnehmung – am Frontverlauf scheint sich derzeit wenig zu ändern. Die Ukraine berichtet, dass in einzelnen russischen Einheiten nicht nur der Fronturlaub gestrichen wurde, sondern dass es auch Probleme mit dem Sold gebe. Der Sammler am 25. September 2022:

• Lesenswert am Wochenende: Eine Betrachtung des britischen Wissenschaftlers Jack Watling für den Think Tank Royal United Services Institute (RUSI):

To assess Putin’s strategy therefore, it is not likely that the Kremlin is aiming to build a force able to overwhelm the Ukrainian armed forces. Instead, the more likely objective is to stabilise Russian losses and then to protract the conflict beyond 2023. Ukraine is already dependent on Western munitions stocks and financial support. The Kremlin’s theory of victory is likely that mobilisation will sufficiently prolong the war to enable its unconventional campaign of economic warfare, political destabilisation, escalation threats, and influence campaigns in Europe and the US to cause Ukraine’s allies to force Kyiv to negotiate.

• Der Aufruf des ukrainischen Präsidenten Wolydymir Selenskyj an russische Soldaten, sich zu ergeben oder zur Ukraine überzulaufen – in seiner regelmäßigen Videoansprache aam (gestrigen) Samstagabend:

Once again I want to say to Russians in Russian.
It was no coincidence that the criminal mobilization declared by Russia was immediately called a “mobilization to graves” by the citizens of Russia themselves. Mobilization to graves. The Russian authorities are well aware that they are sending their citizens to death – there are no other options.
Russian commanders do not care about the lives of Russians – they just need to replenish the empty spaces left by the dead, wounded, those who fled or the Russian soldiers that were captured.
Your government does not care who will take these places. Either young IT specialists who did not serve at all, or pensioners who served only in the Soviet army. So, the key moment has come for you: right now it is being decided whether your life will end or not.
It is better not to take a conscription letter than to die in a foreign land as a war criminal.
It is better to run away from criminal mobilization than to be crippled and then bear responsibility in the court for participating in the war of aggression.
It is better to surrender to Ukrainian captivity than to be killed by the strikes of our weapons, absolutely fair strikes, as Ukraine defends itself in this war. We defend the brightest – we defend our lives, our children, our freedom.
What is Russia fighting for? Every citizen of Russia knows – even if many do not admit it, they know for sure – that it is Russia that brings evil.
Ukraine guarantees every Russian soldier who surrenders three things. First, you will be treated in a civilized manner, in accordance with all conventions. Second, no one will know the circumstances of your surrender, no one in Russia will know that your surrender was voluntary. And third, if you are afraid to return to Russia and do not want an exchange, we will find a way to ensure this as well.

• Das britische Intel Update:

On 21 September 2022, high-profile Russian nationalist Duma member Aleksandr Khinstein called for the partial mobilisation of Russia’s military to be extended to the Russian National Guard (Rosgvardia).
Rosgvardia units have played an important role in both combat and rear-area security in Ukraine and are currently facilitating accession referendums in occupied areas.
The force is intended for use in domestic security roles, to ensure the continuity of Putin’s regime. It was particularly ill-prepared for the intense fighting it has experienced in Ukraine.
With a requirement to quell growing domestic dissent in Russia, as well as operational taskings in Ukraine, Rosgvardia is highly likely under particular strain.
There is a realistic possibility that mobilisation will be used to reinforce Rosgvardia units with additional manpower.

• Das Morgenbriefing des ukrainischen Generalstabs:

The operational update regarding the russian invasion on 06.00, on September 25, 2022.
The two hundred-fourteenth (214) day of the heroic resistance of the Ukrainian people to a russian military large-scale invasion continues.
The enemy continues to focus its efforts on attempts to fully occupy the Donetsk oblast and hold the captured territories, as well as disrupt the active actions of the Defense Forces in certain areas. Fires at the positions of our troops along the contact line, conducts aerial reconnaissance and tries to restore lost positions in certain directions.
The enemy continues to cynically attack civilian infrastructure and civilian homes. There remains the threat of the enemy launching air and missile strikes on the entire territory of Ukraine.
Over the past 24 hours, the russian invaders have launched 7 missile and 22 air strikes, fired more than 67 rounds of anti-aircraft missiles at military and civilian targets on the territory of Ukraine, violating the norms of international humanitarian law, the laws and customs of warfare.
More than 35 settlements were affected by enemy strikes. Among them are Zaporizhzhya, Ochakiv, Mykolayiv, Myrolyubivka, New York, Bilohorivka, Krasnohorivka, Pavlivka, and Mayorsk.
The situation in the Volyn and Polissya directions has not changed significantly.
In other directions, the enemy continues shelling from tanks, mortars and barrel artillery, namely:
in the Siversky direction – in the areas of the settlements of Huta-Studenetska of the Chernihiv oblast and Bachivsk of the Sumy oblast;
in the Slobozhanskyi direction – in the areas of the settlements of Strilecha, Huryiv Kozachok, Dvorichne, Kupyansk and Kucherivka;
in the Kramatorsk direction – Slovyansk, Koroviy Yar, Bohorodychne, Yarova and Ozerne;
in the Bakhmut direction – Soledar, Bakhmut, Bakhmutske, Opytne, Yakovlivka, Nelipovka, Yuryivka, Bilohorivka, Rozdolivka;
in the Avdiyivka direction – Avdiyivka, Vodyane, Maryinka and Paraskoviyvka.
More than 20 settlements came under shelling from tanks, mortars and barrel artillery in the Novopavloisk and Zaporizhzhya directions. In particular, Mykilske, Vuhledar, Kurdyumivka, Prechistivka, Shevchenko, Bilohirya, Temyrivka, Vremivka and Olhivske.
More than 25 settlements along the contact line were damaged by fire in the South Buh direction. In order to carry out reconnaissance, adjust fire and launch strikes on civilian infrastructure objects, the enemy made more than 30 fluies of UAVs.
In connection with the partial mobilization announced by the military-political leadership, the russian command in the temporarily occupied territories is trying to limit the rights of servicemen of the armed forces of the russian federation who have signed short-term contracts. In the units of the occupiers in the Zaporizhzhya direction, it was announced that the term of the contract does not matter, and the time of stay in the combat zone from now on depends on the decision of the command. In addition, partial mobilization is called the reason for the delay of vacations and cash payments, which already leads to a significant deterioration of the morale and psychological state in the enemy’s units.
During the day, units of the Defense Forces of Ukraine repelled enemy attacks in the areas of the settlements of Soledar, Vyimka, Kurdyumivka, Zaitseve, Novomykhailivka, and Pervomaiske.
Aviation of the Defense Forces carried out 26 strikes – it was confirmed that 20 areas of concentration of manpower and military equipment of the enemy and 6 positions of anti-aircraft missile systems were hit.
Missile troops and artillery hit, in particular, 5 control points, 13 areas of concentration of enemy manpower and equipment, 3 positions of anti-aircraft missile complexes, 3 systems of missile troops and artillery, among them „Hurricane“, and 2 warehouses with ammunition. Losses are being clarified.

• Das Briefing des russischen Verteidigungsministeriums:

Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation in Ukraine (September 25, 2022)
The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation.
More than a hundred militants and 15 pieces of military equipment have been eliminated by a missile strike on a temporary deployment point of foreign mercenaries near Zaporozhye.
A repair and restoration point of the 72nd Mechanised Brigade of the AFU has been hit by the high-precision weapons of the Russian Aerospace Forces near Annovka (Donetsk People’s Republic). It has destroyed up to 50 fighters and 28 pieces of military equipment.
Attempt at an offensive by the 79th Airborne Assault Brigade of the AFU has been disrupted by concentrated fire strikes by Russian artillery in the direction of Maryinka (Donetsk People’s Republic). The enemy has lost over 50 militants.
High-precision strikes by the Russian Aerospace Force against permanent deployment points and communication centers of the 46th Air Mobilization Brigade and the 60th Infantry Brigade of the AFU near Bezymennoye, Mirolyubovka and Osokorovka (Kherson Region), has resulted in the elimination of more than 30 militants and five units of military equipment. In all, the Armed Forces of Ukraine lost more than 110 people, including the wounded ones, as well as 13 pieces of military equipment in the direction of Nikolayev-Krivoy Rog.
Operational-tactical and army aviation, missile troopes and artillery strikes has resulted in the elimination of command post of a battalion of the 80th Airborne Assault Brigade of the AFU near Nikolayev, temporary deployment points of foreign mercenaries and the 10th Mountain Assault Brigade of the AFU near Zaporozhye and Druzhkovka (Donetsk People’s Republic), as well as 33 artillery units, manpower and military equipment in 178 areas.
A HIMARS MLRS launching system has been struck in its firing position near Yavkino (Nikolaev region).
7 artillery platoons at the firing positions of the 57th Mechanised Infantry Brigade, 10th Mountain Assault Brigade, 24th Mechanised Brigade of the AFU and 102nd Territorial Defense Brigade near Lyubimovka (Dnepropetrovsk region), Markovo, Maiskoe (Donetsk People’s Republic), Shevchenkovo in (Nykolayev region), Zatishye and Rovnopolye (Zaporozhye region) have been struck during counter-battery operation.
In addition, an Osa-AKM air defence missile launcher near Novosyolovka (Zaporozhye region), two munitions depots near Antonovka and Andreevka (Donetsk People’s Republic), an air defence radar station near Krasnoarmeysk (Donetsk People’s Republic), and the Ukrainian Navy’s Gyurza armoured boat near the port of Ochakov have been destroyed as well.
Two MiG-29 airplanes of the Ukrainian Air Force converted to use American HARM anti-radar missiles have been shot by fighter aircraft of the Russian Air Force near Novoukrainka and Bashtanka (Nikolayev region).
Russian Air Defenсe Forces shot down 12 unmanned aerial vehicles near Yasinovataya, Staromlinovka, Novotroitskoye, Kirillovka, Yegorovka (Donetsk People’s Republic), Mayachka (Zaporozhye region), Davydov brod, Malokakhovka, Charivnoye and Mikhailovka (Kherson region).
21 shells of multiple launch rocket systems, including 18 HIMARS missiled near Novaya Kakhovka (Kherson region), and Valeryanovka (Donetsk People’s Republic), and three Olha missiles near Guselskoye and Neskuchnoye (Donetsk People’s Republic) have been also intercepted in the air.
Three American anti-radar HARM missiles were shot down near Novaya Kakhovka (Kherson region), and Svatovo (Lugansk People’s Republic).
In total, 301 airplanes and 155 helicopters, 2,074 unmanned aerial vehicles, 377 air defence missile systems, 5,111 tanks and other armoured combat vehicles, 845 combat vehicles equipped with MRLS, 3,413 field artillery cannons and mortars, as well as 5,874 units of special military equipment have been destroyed during the special military operation.
Kiev regime continues its provocations near Zaporozhye nuclear power plant.
Once again, Ukrainian artillery shelled residential areas of Energodar and the territory adjacent to the nuclear power plant. During the day, Ukrainian artillery fired 59 shells.
4 of them exploded near Kazachaya Street in Energodar, and 1 hit a water canal near the nuclear power plant.
The shelling was carried out from Marganets and Nikopol (Dnepropetrovsk region), controlled by the AFU. Enemy firepower has been neutralised by Russian artillery’s counter-attack.
In addition, the attempts of the AFU to strike the territory of the nuclear power plant by 8 kamikaze unmanned aerial vehicles have been prevented. All Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles were shot down outside the territory of the nuclear plant.
The radiation environment at the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant remains normal.

• Bereits in den vergangenen Tagen hatten US-Medien berichtet, die USA hätten Russland für den Fall eines Einsatzes von Atomwaffen schwere Konsequenzen angedroht. Das bestätigte nun am (heutigen) Sonntag der nationale Sicherheitsberater Jake Sullivan in mehreren US-Fernsehsendern, wie die New York Times zusammenfasst:

Jake Sullivan, the national security adviser, said in televised interviews on Sunday that the United States has detailed its potential response to the use of nuclear weapons to Russian officials, though he declined to make those details public.
Appearing on ABC’s “This Week,” Mr. Sullivan said the administration is taking Mr. Putin’s nuclear threats seriously — preparing for “every contingency” in the conflict and working to deter Russia from using nuclear weapons.
“We have communicated directly, privately, at very high levels to the Russians, that there will be catastrophic consequences if they use nuclear weapons in Ukraine,” Mr. Sullivan said.
On NBC’s “Meet the Press,” Mr. Sullivan said American and Russian officials have spoken frankly and repeatedly, including in recent days, about specific steps the administration would take if nuclear weapons were deployed.

• Ebenfalls laut New York Times hat Israel zwar bislang die Lieferung seiner Waffensysteme zum Beispiel zur Luftverteidigung an die Ukraine abgelehnt – das Land sei aber bereit, mit der Ukraine seine Informationen über die iranischen Drohnen zu teilen, die Russland zu Angriffen auf ukrainische Städte einsetzt:

In an interview with France’s TV5Monde, Mr. Zelensky expressed disappointment that Israel, which has deep insight into Iranian capabilities, had not done more to assist Ukraine in securing its airspace.
“I don’t know what happened to the state of Israel,” Mr. Zelensky said. “I’m in shock. I don’t understand why they couldn’t send us air defense.”
But a senior Ukrainian official, speaking on condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive information, said that Israeli intelligence officials were providing their Ukrainian counterparts with information about Iranian drones.

• Das Abendbriefing des ukrainischen Generalstabs:

The operational update regarding the russian invasion on 18.00, on September 25, 2022.
The two hundred-fourteenth (214) day of the heroic resistance of the Ukrainian people to a russian military large-scale invasion continues.
The enemy continues to focus its efforts on attempts to fully occupy the Donetsk oblast and hold the captured territories, as well as disrupt the active actions of the Defense Forces in certain areas. Fires at the positions of our troops along the contact line, conducts aerial reconnaissance and tries to restore lost positions in certain directions.
The enemy continues to cynically attack civilian infrastructure and civilian homes. There remains the threat of the enemy launching air and missile strikes on the entire territory of Ukraine.
Over the course of a day, the occupiers launched 4 missile and 7 air strikes, fired more than 24 MLRS rstrikes at military and civilian objects on the territory of Ukraine, violating the norms of international humanitarian law, the laws and customs of warfare.
More than 35 settlements were affected by enemy fire. Among them are Kupyansk, Bilohorivka, Spirne, Bakhmutske, Bakhmut, New York, Krasnohorivka, Kurakhove, Novomykhailivka, Pavlivka, Zaporizhzhya, Volodymyrivske, Ochakiv, Mykolaiv, Myrolyubivka, Novovoznesensk, Sukhy Stavok and Odesa.
The situation in the Volyn and Polissya directions has not changed significantly.
In other directions, the enemy fired from tanks, mortars and barrel artillery:
in the Siversky direction – in the areas of the settlements of Huta-Studenetska and Bleshnya of the Chernihiv oblast and Bachivsk, Shalyhine and Seredyna Buda of the Sumy oblast;
in the Slobozhansk direction – in the areas of the settlements of Strilecha, Huryiv Kozachok, Stohniyi, Udy, Veterynarne and Kupyansk;
in the Kramatorsk direction – Slovyiansk, Koroviy Yar, Bohorodychne, Yarova, Pryshyb and Ozerne;
in the Bakhmut direction – Soledar, Bakhmut, Bakhmutske, Odradivka, Zaytseve, Opytne, Yakovlivka, New York, Mayorsk, Nelipovka, Yuryivka, Vyimka, Bilohorivka, Rozdolivka, Spirne, Vesele and Verkhnyokamianske;
in the Avdiyivka region – Avdiyivka, Opytne, Pervomaiske, Vodyane, Krasnohorivka, Novomykhailivka, Maryinka and Paraskoviyivka.
18 settlements were shelled in the Novopavlivsk and Zaporizhzhya directions. In particular, Mykilske, Vuhledar, Prechystivka, Zolota Nyva, Velyka Novosilka, Novomayorske, Vremivka, Pavlivka, Zaliznychne, Shevchenko, Bilohirya, Poltavka, Novosilka, Novopil, Temyrivka, Vremivka, Chervone and Olhivske.
In the South Buh region, more than 38 settlements near the contact line were damaged by artillery and mortar shelling. In particular, Novovoznesensk, Arkhangelsk, Sukhy Stavok, Pervomaiske, Marganets and Nikopol.
For the purpose of conducting reconnaissance, adjusting fire and launching strikes against civilian infrastructure objects, the enemy made up to 60 flies of UAVs.
In connection with the partial mobilization announced by the russian military-political leadership, the military commissariats of the russian Federation have been working around the clock since September 22. Persons who try to evade mobilization are threatened with criminal liability.
In the city of Sevastopol of the temporarily occupied Autonomous Republic of Crimea, about one thousand summonses were handed out to men of draft age. Representatives of the occupying forces assure the mobilized personnel that their service will take place in the temporarily occupied territory of the Kherson region until the end of the term of the so-called „special operation“.
The command of the russian occupying forces directs the new arrivals for the mobilization of servicemen without training to the replenishment of units that have suffered losses, directly to the front line. This significantly affects the decrease in the level of morale and psychological state of enemy servicemen and the quality of their performance of duties.
The skill of our artillerymen was once again confirmed. During September 24 of this year, as a result of the fire impact on enemy facilities in the temporarily captured territory of Zaporizhzhya oblast, about 10 units of enemy weapons and military equipment were destroyed in the area of ​​the settlement of Hulyaipole, as well as one S-300 air defense system with ammunition storage near the city of Tokmak .
During the day, units of the Defense Forces repelled enemy attacks in the areas of Soledar, Vyimka, Kurdyumivka, Zaitseve, Novomykhailivka, Pervomaiske and Pavlivka.
To support the actions of ground groups, the aviation of the Defense Forces of Ukraine carried out 21 strikes. It was confirmed that 14 areas of concentration of manpower and military equipment of the enemy and 7 positions of anti-aircraft missile systems were damaged. In addition, air defense units destroyed 2 UAVs of the occupiers in different directions.
During the current day, missile forces and artillery, in particular, hit 6 command and control points, 11 areas of concentration of enemy manpower and equipment, 2 positions of anti-aircraft missile systems, 3 units of missile forces and artillery, 6 warehouses with ammunition, as well as 8 separate important targets.

• In einem Interview mit dem US-Sender CBS erneuerte der ukrainische Präsident die Aufforderung, Panzer zu schicken – und deutete an, dass das amerikanisch-norwegische Luftverteidigungssystem NASAMS bereits in der Ukraine eingetroffen sei:

So as of today, number one, we’re very thankful for HIMARS and other MLRSs that give us an ability to conduct our offensive. Our army seizes the initiative, cuts the technical capabilities of Russia.
Second, artillery. Artillery helps us to save the lives of our warriors, our fighters, they need an opportunity to get supplies of tanks from the United States as well as Europe. If the US will be able to show its leadership and will be able to get the tanks, then the Germany- then Germany and other European countries will follow. I think if we get tanks from the US, European allies will also help us to de-occupy Ukrainian cities with tanks. And don’t follow Russian false narratives that say that tanks will be given to Ukraine in order to shoot or target Russia, it’s not true. Even if we wanted this.
Our task is to protect our own territory. We do not need a foreign country, we do not need a foreign nation. We want to protect our land and save our people. That’s why tanks are very important as an example for the whole world.
Number three air defense systems. We absolutely need the United States to show leadership and give Ukraine, the air defense systems. I want to thank President Biden for a positive decision that has been already made. And to the US Congress, we received NASAMS. It’s the air defense systems. But believe me, it’s not even nearly enough to cover the civilian infrastructure, schools, hospitals, universities, homes of Ukrainians.

• Ergänzend dazu:  ein Interview der New York Times mit Bundeskanzler Olaf Scholz:

Germany’s Chancellor Has ‘a Lot’ for Ukraine. But No Battle Tanks.