Im andauernden russischen Angriffskrieg gegen die Ukraine eine nicht unbedingt überraschende, aber dennoch interessante Einschätzung aus Großbritannien: Die russische Kampfkraft lässt sich aufgrund der Verluste an Menschen – nicht Material – und als Folge der unterbesetzten Einheiten nicht aufrechterhalten. Der Sammler am 19. Juli 2022:
• Das britische Intel Update:
Russia continues to commit what are nominally six separate armies to its Donbas offensive. At full strength, before the invasion, these formations were established for around 150,000 personnel.
In recent weeks, Russia has often operated with company-sized groupings of around 100 personnel when undertaking offensive operations in any one sector at a time.
Russia has struggled to sustain effective offensive combat power since the start of the invasion and this problem is likely becoming increasingly acute.
As well as dealing with severe under-manning, Russian planners face a dilemma between deploying reserves to the Donbas or defending against Ukrainian counterattacks in the southwestern Kherson sector.
Russia’s stated immediate policy objective is to seize all of Donetsk Oblast.
While Russia may still make further territorial gains, their operational tempo and rate of advance is likely to be very slow without a significant operational pause for reorganisation and refit.
Operational update regarding the #russian_invasion as of 06:00 on July 19, 2022
The one hundred forty-sixth (146) day of the heroic resistance of the Ukrainian people to a russian military invasion continues.
In the Volyn and Polissya directions the rotation of units of the armed forces of the republic of belarus, which are involved in covering the section of the belarusian-Ukrainian border, continues. In the border areas, aerial reconnaissance by UAVs is conducted. The threat of missile and air strikes from the territory and airspace of the republic of belarus remains.
In the Siversky direction, units of the armed forces of the russian federation continue to carry out enhanced protection of the section of the Ukrainian-russian border. The enemy fired mortars and artillery at the Mykolayivka settlements of the Chernihiv region and the settlements of Zarutske, Zhuravka, Bilopillia, and Iskryskivshchyna of the Sumy oblast. Enemy units continue conducting aerial reconnaissance.
In the Kharkiv direction, the enemy is conducting combat operations in order to hold the occupied lines. The enemy carried out shelling from artillery of various calibers, particularly in the vicinity of Rusky and Cherkasy Tyshki, Pytomnyk, Borschova, Ruska Lozova, and Chuhuyev.
Enemy combat reconnaissance in the area of the settlement of Uda completely failed. The occupiers suffered losses and withdrew.
In the direction of Slovyansk, the enemy is trying to create conditions for resuming the offensive in the direction of Slovyansk. Carried out fire damage from tanks, barrel and rocket artillery near Velyka Komyshuvakha, Dolyna, Chepil, Dibrovne, Novomykolaivka and others.
After an airstrike near Husarivka, the occupiers tried to attack this settlement. Our soldiers met the enemy with heavy fire and pushed the invaders back.
In the Kramatorsk direction, the enemy fired from barrel and rocket artillery in the areas of the settlements of Bilohorivka, Bohorodychne, Kramatorsk, Raihorodok, Donetske, Verkhnyokamianske, Spirne, Starodubivka, Siversk, Dronivka and Ivano-Daryivka. Conducted an airstrike near Verkhnokamyanske.
The enemy carried out assaults near Spirne, had no success, retreated. Attempts are being made to advance in the direction of Hryhorivka, hostilities continue.
In the direction of Bakhmut, the enemy shelled the areas of the settlements of Bakhmut, Novoluhanske, Pokrovske, Vuhlehirska TPP, Vershyna, Vesela Dolyna, Yakovlivka, Berestove and Zaitseve. Airstrikes were recorded in the vicinity of the Vuhlehirska TPP, Mayorsk, Toretsk, Berestove, Soledar, Vershyna, Shumy, and Pokrovske.
Ukrainian soldiers successfully repelled all attempts of assaults in the direction of the settlements of Semihirya, Vershyna, Pokrovske and the territory of the Vuhlehirska TPP.
The enemy did not conduct active operations in the Avdiyivka, Novopavlivka, and Zaporizhzhia directions. Conducted an airstrike near Kamyanka.
In the South Buh direction, the enemy is firing from afar from tanks, barrel and rocket artillery along the contact line, conducting aerial reconnaissance by UAVs. Continues to equip additional lines of defense.
There remains a high level of threat of missile strikes throughout the territory of Ukraine, do not ignore air warning signals.
In connection with large sanitary and irreparable losses, forced mobilization measures continue in the temporarily occupied territories of Donetsk and Luhansk regions. Dissatisfaction with the actions of the Russian command is growing among servicemen of non-Slavic nationalities, who are mercilessly thrown into the most risky attacks on the territory of Ukraine.
• Das Briefing des russischen Verteidigungsministeriums:
Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation in Ukraine
The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation in Ukraine.
High-precision weapons of the Russian Aerospace Forces have neutralized temporary deployement point of the Right Sector Nazi militia in Kamyshevakha, Zaporozhye Region. Up to 200 militants have been killed.
High-precision weapons have hit positions of battalion of 81st Airmobile Brigade of AFU near Dolina, Donetsk People’s Republic. More than 60 personnel have been destroyed, as well as 7 armoured vehicles and 1 ammunition depot.
In addition, high-precision weapons strike have destroyed ammunition depots for weapons supplied by the US and European countries near Belen’koye, Odessa Region.
To replenish the significant losses in personnel and equipment incurred by 66th and 72nd mechanized, 58th motorized infantry and 10th Mountain Assault Brigades of AFU operating in the Soledar direction, the forced mobilization of residents of Artemovsk, Chasov Yar, Soledar, Dzerzhinsk and other nearby settlements is under way. Vehicles are seized from local residents to equip the formations.
4 platoons of Grad multiple-launch rocket systems, 13 artillery platoons of D-20 howitzers and 10 artillery platoons of D-30 guns have been neutralized in Seversk, Serebryanka, Dronovka, Opytnoye, Krasnoye, Zvanovka, Ivano-Dar’evka, Paraskovievka and Ivangrad, Donetsk People’s Republic.
Operational-tactical and army aviation, missile troops and artillery have neutralized 7 command posts, including 81st Aero-mobile Brigade near Kramatorsk, Donetsk People’s Republic, 60th Infantry Brigade near Kirovo, 128th Mountain Assault Brigade near Vozdvizhevka, Zaporozhye Region, 5 ammunition depots in Vasyukovka, Velyka Novoselka, Donetsk People’s Republic, Novoaleksandrovka, Zaporozhye region, Pokrovskoye, Dnepropetrovsk Region, 2 fuel depots near Soledar and Novgorodskoye, Donetsk People’s Republic, as well as 197 areas of AFU manpower and military equipment concentration.
Russian air defence means have shot down 1 Mi-24 helicopter of Ukrainian air force near Pokrovskoye, Donetsk People’s Republic, and 4 Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles near Peschanoye, Petropavlovka, Topolskoye and Izyum, Kharkov Region.
In addition, 4 Tochka-U ballistic missiles and 5 rockets of Uragan multiple-launch rocket system have been intercepted near Skadovsk and Novaya Kakhovka, Kherson Region and Chervonyi Oskol and Topolskoye, Kharkov Region.
In total, 257 Ukrainian airplanes and 143 helicopters, 1,568 unmanned aerial vehicles, 356 anti-aircraft missile systems, 4,106 tanks and other armored combat vehicles, 759 multiple launch rocket systems, 3,160 field artillery and mortars, as well as 4,392 units of special military vehicles were destroyed during the operation.
• Der ukrainische Ministerpräsident Denys Schmyhal kündigte an, die Ukraine wolle türkische Bayraktar-Kampfdrohnen in Lizenz produzieren:
The Government will submit to the Verkhovna Rada a draft law on the ratification of the Agreement between Ukraine and Turkey on cooperation in the field of high technologies, aviation and space industries. Prime Minister of Ukraine Denys Shmyhal announced at a session of the Cabinet of Ministers, on July 19.
“Among other things, this will allow us building a factory in Ukraine for the production and maintenance of the far-famed Bayraktar UCAVs,” noted the Head of Government.
Operational update regarding the #russian_invasion as of 18:00, on July 19, 2022
The one hundred and forty-sixth (146) day of the heroic resistance of the Ukrainian people to a russian military invasion continues.
There are no significant changes in the activities of the armed forces of the republic of belarus in the Volyn and Polissya directions. The rotation of units involved in covering the section of the belarusian-Ukrainian border is coming to an end.
On the Siversky direction, the enemy shelled Mykolaivka in the Chernihiv oblast and Zarutske, Zhuravka, Bilopylla, Iskryskivshchyna, Myropillya, Esman, and Vovkivka in the Sumys oblast from the territory of the russian federation with barrel artillery and rocket salvo systems.
In the Kharkiv direction, the enemy continued to attack settlements with artillery fire in the areas to the north, east and south-east of the city of Kharkiv.
It made unsuccessful attempts to conduct offensive actions in the directions of the villages of Udy and Husarivka. He launched an airstrike near the Husarivka.
In the Slovyansk direction, the enemy shelled the areas of the settlements of Dibrovne, Novomykolaivka, Velyka Komyshuvakha, Dolyna, Chepil, Semylanne, Hrushuvaha, Adamivka, Barvinkove, Bohorodychne, Arkhanhelivka, and Nova Dmytrivka with barrel, jet artillery, and tanks.
The enemy’s attempt to conduct combat reconnaissance in the direction of Dmytrivka ended unsuccessfully. The occupiers withdrew with losses.
In the Donetsk direction, the enemy is concentrating its main efforts on attempts to advance in the directions of Siversk and Bakhmut.
The enemy carried out artillery fire in the vicinity of Kramatorsk, Raihorodok, Donetsk, Verkhnokamyanske, Spirne, Starodubivka, Siversk, Dronivka, and Ivano-Daryivka. He carried out an airstrike near Verkhnokamyanske.
Ukrainian soldiers inflicted significant losses on the occupiers when they tried to advance in the direction of Hryhorivka, Spirne, and Ivano-Daryivka. The enemy retreated in disorder.
In the direction of Bakhmut, the invaders shelled the areas of the settlements of Bakhmut, Novoluhanske, Pokrovske, Vershyna, Vesela Dolyna, Yakovlivka, Berestov and Zaitseve. Airstrikes were carried out near the Vugleghirskaya TPP, Pokrovsky, Maiorsk, Toretsk, Berestove and Vershyna.
The enemy carried out assaults in the direction of Pokrovske, was partially successful, and was entrenched on the southern outskirts of the settlement.
The enemy’s attempts to advance in the direction of Berestove, Bilohorivka, Vershyna and the territory of the Vuglehirskaya TPP were unsuccessful.
The enemy did not conduct active operations in the Avdiyivka, Novopavlivla, and Zaporizhzhya directions. Fired tanks, barrel and jet artillery in the areas of Volodymyrivka, Avdiivka, Prechistivka, Novomykhailivka, Pavlivka, Vugledar, Maryinka, Tonenke, Velyka Mykhailivka, Yanvarske, Kamianske, Charivne, Mali Shcherbaky, Novoandriivka and Novopil settlements. It conducted an airstrike near Kamyianka.
The situation in the South Buh direction has not undergone any significant changes. Mutual shelling from barrel and rocket artillery and tanks continues along the entire line of contact.
In the waters of the Black and Azov Seas, the enemy’s naval group continues to perform tasks of supporting the actions of ground forces and blocking the northwestern part of the Black Sea.
Three carriers of high-precision weapons are in readiness for missile strikes on objects on the territory of Ukraine.
The enemy continues to suffer losses in manpower and equipment. The enemy’s ammunition depots are being blown up. An increase in cases of desertion of Russian occupiers who are trying to get to the territory of the Russian Federation in any way is recorded.